ARMISTICE WATCH / BREACH PRESSURE / MEDIATION HEALTH
CEASEFIRE MONITOR
Monitor whether negotiated pauses are holding, expiring, or collapsing across the world's active war theaters. Each record tracks the parties, mediator, end date, and breach tempo.
ACTIVE
1
holding frameworks
FRAGILE
4
under strain
VIOLATED
3
collapsed deals
BREACHES
16,582
indicative episodes logged
TRUCE TABLE
Active and fragile agreements are sorted first; expired and violated records trail.
Violation counts are derived from public monitoring and media reporting.
| CEASEFIRE | PARTIES | MEDIATOR | DATES | STATUS | VIOLATIONS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ethiopia-Tigray / Pretoria Agreement Large-scale conventional fighting has not resumed and the accord is broadly holding, even as implementation gaps and localized insecurity persist. TERMS: Permanent cessation of hostilities, disarmament sequencing, restoration of services, and humanitarian access. | Federal Government of Ethiopia and TPLF | African Union | START Nov 2, 2022 END Open-ended | ACTIVE | 14 reported episodes |
Syria / Idlib Ceasefire The deal prevented a full return to major offensive warfare in Idlib, but artillery, drone strikes, and cross-line incidents continued. TERMS: Front-line de-escalation in Idlib, joint patrol provisions, and a security corridor along the M4 highway. | Syrian government forces and armed opposition formations | Russia and Turkey | START Mar 5, 2020 END Open-ended | FRAGILE | 1,330 reported episodes |
South Sudan / Revitalized Peace Agreement The agreement has averted a return to full-scale civil war, but political mistrust, delayed security reforms, and local violence keep it precarious. TERMS: Power-sharing transition, cantonment and unification of forces, constitutional reform, and election preparations. | Government of South Sudan, SPLM-IO, and opposition groups | IGAD, African Union | START Sep 12, 2018 END Open-ended | FRAGILE | 121 reported episodes |
Israel-Hamas / Phased Gaza Framework The arrangement reduced violence in bursts but remained highly unstable, with repeated accusations of breaches and stalled phase transitions. TERMS: Hostage-prisoner exchanges, phased military pullbacks, aid scale-up, and talks on a broader end-state. | Israel and Hamas | Qatar, Egypt, United States | START Jan 19, 2025 END Open-ended | FRAGILE | 96 reported episodes |
Libya / Permanent Ceasefire Agreement The line of contact largely held, but militia fragmentation, delayed foreign fighter exits, and periodic clashes kept the arrangement brittle. TERMS: Front-line freeze, foreign fighter withdrawal, confidence-building measures, and security-sector coordination. | Libyan Arab Armed Forces and Government-aligned forces | UNSMIL 5+5 Joint Military Commission | START Oct 23, 2020 END Open-ended | FRAGILE | 39 reported episodes |
Ukraine-Russia / Minsk II The framework repeatedly fractured along the line of contact and effectively collapsed when Russia launched its full-scale invasion in February 2022. TERMS: Immediate ceasefire, heavy-weapon withdrawal, prisoner releases, and a political roadmap for Donbas. | Ukraine, Russia, OSCE-backed separatist representatives | France, Germany, OSCE | START Feb 12, 2015 END Feb 24, 2022 | VIOLATED | 14,250 reported episodes |
Sudan / Jeddah Humanitarian Ceasefire The arrangement was breached almost immediately by continued airstrikes, shelling, and urban combat around Khartoum and Darfur. TERMS: Humanitarian corridors, civilian protection commitments, and a short monitored pause in offensive operations. | Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces | Saudi Arabia and United States | START May 20, 2023 END May 29, 2023 | VIOLATED | 340 reported episodes |
Myanmar / Haigeng Agreement Fighting resumed within months, especially around northern Shan and Rakhine, eroding confidence in Beijing-backed de-escalation. TERMS: Pause offensives in northern Shan, reopen border trade, and create channels for local de-escalation. | Myanmar military and Three Brotherhood Alliance | China | START Jan 11, 2024 END Jun 25, 2024 | VIOLATED | 210 reported episodes |
Yemen / UN-Brokered Nationwide Truce The truce sharply reduced nationwide violence but was not formally renewed after October 2022, leaving only an informal de-escalation legacy. TERMS: Nationwide reduction in hostilities, fuel shipments into Hudaydah, commercial flights from Sana'a, and talks on Taiz roads. | Yemeni government, Houthis, Saudi-led coalition | United Nations Special Envoy | START Apr 2, 2022 END Oct 2, 2022 | EXPIRED | 64 reported episodes |
Colombia-ELN / Bilateral National Ceasefire Talks continued after the formal term lapsed, but the national bilateral ceasefire expired and later pauses became narrower and episodic. TERMS: Suspension of offensive operations, incident-verification mechanism, and protection measures for civilians. | Government of Colombia and ELN | Cuba, Norway, Mexico, Venezuela, Brazil, Chile | START Aug 3, 2023 END Aug 3, 2024 | EXPIRED | 52 reported episodes |
Ukraine-Russia / Orthodox Christmas Truce The 36-hour pause did not produce a mutually observed front-line cessation and expired without follow-on implementation. TERMS: A short holiday pause around Orthodox Christmas with no verified reciprocal enforcement mechanism. | Russian Federation and Ukrainian Armed Forces | Unilateral Russian declaration; no joint monitoring body | START Jan 6, 2023 END Jan 7, 2023 | EXPIRED | 48 reported episodes |
Israel-Hamas / Humanitarian Pause The week-long pause enabled exchanges and aid movement but ended without transitioning to a sustained ceasefire. TERMS: Temporary halt for hostage-prisoner exchanges, expanded aid deliveries, and humanitarian access corridors. | Israel and Hamas | Qatar, Egypt, United States | START Nov 24, 2023 END Dec 1, 2023 | EXPIRED | 18 reported episodes |