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← WARSCOPE/CEASEFIRE MONITOR

ARMISTICE WATCH / BREACH PRESSURE / MEDIATION HEALTH

CEASEFIRE MONITOR

Monitor whether negotiated pauses are holding, expiring, or collapsing across the world's active war theaters. Each record tracks the parties, mediator, end date, and breach tempo.

ACTIVE
1
holding frameworks
FRAGILE
4
under strain
VIOLATED
3
collapsed deals
BREACHES
16,582
indicative episodes logged
TRUCE TABLE
Active and fragile agreements are sorted first; expired and violated records trail.
Violation counts are derived from public monitoring and media reporting.
CEASEFIREPARTIESMEDIATORDATESSTATUSVIOLATIONS
Ethiopia-Tigray / Pretoria Agreement
Large-scale conventional fighting has not resumed and the accord is broadly holding, even as implementation gaps and localized insecurity persist.
TERMS: Permanent cessation of hostilities, disarmament sequencing, restoration of services, and humanitarian access.
Federal Government of Ethiopia and TPLFAfrican Union
START Nov 2, 2022
END Open-ended
ACTIVE
14
reported episodes
Syria / Idlib Ceasefire
The deal prevented a full return to major offensive warfare in Idlib, but artillery, drone strikes, and cross-line incidents continued.
TERMS: Front-line de-escalation in Idlib, joint patrol provisions, and a security corridor along the M4 highway.
Syrian government forces and armed opposition formationsRussia and Turkey
START Mar 5, 2020
END Open-ended
FRAGILE
1,330
reported episodes
South Sudan / Revitalized Peace Agreement
The agreement has averted a return to full-scale civil war, but political mistrust, delayed security reforms, and local violence keep it precarious.
TERMS: Power-sharing transition, cantonment and unification of forces, constitutional reform, and election preparations.
Government of South Sudan, SPLM-IO, and opposition groupsIGAD, African Union
START Sep 12, 2018
END Open-ended
FRAGILE
121
reported episodes
Israel-Hamas / Phased Gaza Framework
The arrangement reduced violence in bursts but remained highly unstable, with repeated accusations of breaches and stalled phase transitions.
TERMS: Hostage-prisoner exchanges, phased military pullbacks, aid scale-up, and talks on a broader end-state.
Israel and HamasQatar, Egypt, United States
START Jan 19, 2025
END Open-ended
FRAGILE
96
reported episodes
Libya / Permanent Ceasefire Agreement
The line of contact largely held, but militia fragmentation, delayed foreign fighter exits, and periodic clashes kept the arrangement brittle.
TERMS: Front-line freeze, foreign fighter withdrawal, confidence-building measures, and security-sector coordination.
Libyan Arab Armed Forces and Government-aligned forcesUNSMIL 5+5 Joint Military Commission
START Oct 23, 2020
END Open-ended
FRAGILE
39
reported episodes
Ukraine-Russia / Minsk II
The framework repeatedly fractured along the line of contact and effectively collapsed when Russia launched its full-scale invasion in February 2022.
TERMS: Immediate ceasefire, heavy-weapon withdrawal, prisoner releases, and a political roadmap for Donbas.
Ukraine, Russia, OSCE-backed separatist representativesFrance, Germany, OSCE
START Feb 12, 2015
END Feb 24, 2022
VIOLATED
14,250
reported episodes
Sudan / Jeddah Humanitarian Ceasefire
The arrangement was breached almost immediately by continued airstrikes, shelling, and urban combat around Khartoum and Darfur.
TERMS: Humanitarian corridors, civilian protection commitments, and a short monitored pause in offensive operations.
Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support ForcesSaudi Arabia and United States
START May 20, 2023
END May 29, 2023
VIOLATED
340
reported episodes
Myanmar / Haigeng Agreement
Fighting resumed within months, especially around northern Shan and Rakhine, eroding confidence in Beijing-backed de-escalation.
TERMS: Pause offensives in northern Shan, reopen border trade, and create channels for local de-escalation.
Myanmar military and Three Brotherhood AllianceChina
START Jan 11, 2024
END Jun 25, 2024
VIOLATED
210
reported episodes
Yemen / UN-Brokered Nationwide Truce
The truce sharply reduced nationwide violence but was not formally renewed after October 2022, leaving only an informal de-escalation legacy.
TERMS: Nationwide reduction in hostilities, fuel shipments into Hudaydah, commercial flights from Sana'a, and talks on Taiz roads.
Yemeni government, Houthis, Saudi-led coalitionUnited Nations Special Envoy
START Apr 2, 2022
END Oct 2, 2022
EXPIRED
64
reported episodes
Colombia-ELN / Bilateral National Ceasefire
Talks continued after the formal term lapsed, but the national bilateral ceasefire expired and later pauses became narrower and episodic.
TERMS: Suspension of offensive operations, incident-verification mechanism, and protection measures for civilians.
Government of Colombia and ELNCuba, Norway, Mexico, Venezuela, Brazil, Chile
START Aug 3, 2023
END Aug 3, 2024
EXPIRED
52
reported episodes
Ukraine-Russia / Orthodox Christmas Truce
The 36-hour pause did not produce a mutually observed front-line cessation and expired without follow-on implementation.
TERMS: A short holiday pause around Orthodox Christmas with no verified reciprocal enforcement mechanism.
Russian Federation and Ukrainian Armed ForcesUnilateral Russian declaration; no joint monitoring body
START Jan 6, 2023
END Jan 7, 2023
EXPIRED
48
reported episodes
Israel-Hamas / Humanitarian Pause
The week-long pause enabled exchanges and aid movement but ended without transitioning to a sustained ceasefire.
TERMS: Temporary halt for hostage-prisoner exchanges, expanded aid deliveries, and humanitarian access corridors.
Israel and HamasQatar, Egypt, United States
START Nov 24, 2023
END Dec 1, 2023
EXPIRED
18
reported episodes