Global Election Violence Tracker
Monitor upcoming elections in countries prone to political instability and electoral violence. Assess potential risks and understand the historical context of conflict during election periods.
Venezuela
High RiskPresidential elections amid a severe economic and political crisis. Potential for civil unrest, government suppression of dissent, and international condemnation depending on the outcome and fairness of the vote.
Date: December 8, 2024
Type: Presidential
Historical Incidents: Protests, government crackdown, opposition boycotts, political imprisonment.
Haiti
Critical RiskPresidential elections in a country suffering from extreme gang violence and political instability. The electoral process itself is highly vulnerable to disruption and manipulation by armed groups.
Date: January 20, 2025
Type: Presidential
Historical Incidents: Gang violence, political assassinations, massive protests, institutional collapse.
Ukraine
High RiskWhile currently under martial law, any future elections will be held in a highly volatile environment. Security risks, territorial disputes, and political divisions could lead to significant violence and challenges to legitimacy.
Date: March 30, 2025
Type: Presidential
Historical Incidents: Russian aggression, annexation, widespread conflict, political assassinations.
Ethiopia
High RiskGeneral elections following a period of civil war in the Tigray region and ongoing ethnic tensions. The risk of violence, particularly in contested regions, remains significant.
Date: June 21, 2025
Type: Parliamentary
Historical Incidents: Ethnic conflict, regional insurgencies, political repression.
Iraq
Medium RiskParliamentary elections in a country still recovering from conflict and political instability. While security has improved, political rivalries and external influences could lead to localized violence and protests.
Date: October 10, 2025
Type: Parliamentary
Historical Incidents: Sectarian violence, protests, voter suppression, foreign interference.
Myanmar
High RiskGeneral elections under military rule, likely to be widely disputed and potentially triggering further conflict between the junta and pro-democracy forces, as well as ethnic armed organizations.
Date: November 1, 2025
Type: General
Historical Incidents: Military coups, civil war, ethnic cleansing, severe human rights abuses.
Sudan
Critical RiskFuture elections, if held, would follow a devastating civil war. The country is deeply fractured, and any attempt at political transition through elections would carry an extremely high risk of violence and further destabilization.
Date: March 1, 2026
Type: General
Historical Incidents: Civil war, military coups, widespread human rights abuses, ethnic violence.
Somalia
Critical RiskParliamentary elections in a fragile state battling a persistent Islamist insurgency. The electoral process itself is a target for extremist groups and often exacerbates inter-clan rivalries.
Date: May 15, 2026
Type: Parliamentary
Historical Incidents: Al-Shabaab attacks, clan-based conflict, political assassinations, delayed elections.
Lebanon
Medium RiskParliamentary elections in a nation facing deep economic crisis and political paralysis. The fragile sectarian power-sharing system and regional tensions could lead to political deadlock and civil unrest.
Date: May 15, 2026
Type: Parliamentary
Historical Incidents: Sectarian tensions, political assassinations, protests, economic collapse.
Afghanistan
Critical RiskAny future elections in Afghanistan will occur under challenging security conditions, with the Taliban's influence and potential for resistance leading to extreme violence risks.
Date: August 1, 2026
Type: Presidential
Historical Incidents: Taliban insurgency, widespread voter intimidation, fraud, civilian casualties.
Democratic Republic of Congo
Critical RiskUpcoming presidential elections in a country with a long history of conflict and political instability. The elections are likely to be highly contentious, with potential for widespread violence and displacement.
Date: December 20, 2026
Type: Presidential
Historical Incidents: Frequent electoral violence, disputed results, ethnic tensions, armed group activity.
Yemen
Critical RiskElections in a post-conflict Yemen would face immense challenges, including security breakdowns, lingering hostilities, and a deeply divided population, leading to a critical risk of violence.
Date: January 1, 2027
Type: General
Historical Incidents: Civil war, humanitarian crisis, famine, foreign intervention, tribal conflict.
Nigeria
High RiskGeneral elections in Africa's most populous nation. While democratic transitions have occurred, elections are often marred by localized violence, especially in regions with strong political or ethnic divides.
Date: February 18, 2027
Type: Presidential
Historical Incidents: Sporadic violence, rigging allegations, regional and religious divisions, insurgencies.